States

Fabrication of Efficient, Large Aperture Transmission Diffraction Gratings by Ion-Beam Etching (open access)

Fabrication of Efficient, Large Aperture Transmission Diffraction Gratings by Ion-Beam Etching

The utilization of high-power short pulse laser employing chirped-pulse amplification (CPA) for material processing and inertial confinement research is widely increasing. The performance of these high-power CPA laser system continues to be limited by the ability of the pulse compression gratings to hold up to the high-average-power or high-peak-power of the laser. Pulse compression gratings used in transmission and fabricated out of bulk fused silica have intrinsically the highest laser damage threshold when compared with metal or multilayer dielectric gratings that work in reflection. LLNL has developed processing capability to produce high efficiency fused silica transmission gratings at sizes useful to future Petawatt-class systems, and has demonstrated high efficiency at smaller aperture. This report shows that fused silica diffraction exhibiting >95% efficiency into the -1 diffraction order in transmission (90{sup o} deflection of the incident light, at an incidence angle of 45{sup o} to the grating face). The microstructure of this grating consisted of grooves ion-beam etched to a depth of 1.6 microns with a pitch of 0.75 microns, using a holographically produced photoresist mask that was subsequently stripped away in significance to the fabrication of the small scale high efficiency grating was the development of the processing technology and …
Date: September 14, 2000
Creator: Nguyen, H T; Bryan, S R; Britten, J A & Perry, M D
Object Type: Report
System: The UNT Digital Library
Insights to Repository Performance Through Study of a Nuclear Test Site (open access)

Insights to Repository Performance Through Study of a Nuclear Test Site

United States high-level nuclear waste from nuclear weapons production, naval propulsion programs, and the processing of commercial spent nuclear fuels is scheduled for immobilization in glass waste forms prior to permanent disposal in a mined geologic repository. Considerable attention has been directed to assessments of the subsequent long-term release of radionuclides from a repository under saturated and partially saturated conditions. Credible predictions of dose from a repository rely on insights to radionuclide sequestration in the glass, mechanisms of glass degradation, and radionuclide solubility and transport in the near-field. Underground nuclear test sites offer an unprecedented opportunity to evaluate processes relevant to repository performance in the absence of engineered barriers. Radionuclide migration programs at the Nevada Test Site represent a twenty-five year investment in the systematic investigation of the diverse radiologic source term from weapons testing and the evolution of the hydrologic source term which includes radionuclides dissolved in or otherwise available for transport by groundwater. The geology, hydrology, and geochemistry of the Nevada Test Site which includes the proposed Yucca Mountain repository provides an ideal natural laboratory to assess long-term radionuclide transport in the near and far-field. The Yucca Mountain repository shares with adjacent testing areas the following features: correlative …
Date: January 14, 2000
Creator: Smith, D. K.; Kersting, A. B.; Thompson, J. L. & Finnegan, D. L.
Object Type: Article
System: The UNT Digital Library
Uncertainty: a discriminator for above and below boiling repository design decisions (open access)

Uncertainty: a discriminator for above and below boiling repository design decisions

The US nuclear waste disposal program is evaluating the Yucca Mountain (YM) site for possible disposal of nuclear waste. Radioactive decay of the waste, particularly spent fuel, generates sufficient heat to significantly raise repository temperatures. Environmental conditions in the repository system evolve in response to this heat. The amount of temperature increase, and thus environmental changes, depends on repository design and operations. Because the evolving environment cannot be directly measured until after waste is emplaced, licensing decisions must be based upon model and analytical projections of the environmental conditions. These analyses have inherent uncertainties. There is concern that elevated temperatures increase uncertainty, because most chemical reaction rates increase with temperature and boiling introduces additional complexity of vapor phase reactions and transport. This concern was expressed by the NWTRB, particularly for above boiling temperatures. They state that ''the cooler the repository, the lower the uncertainty about heat-driven water migration and the better the performance of waste package materials. Above this temperature, technical uncertainties tend to be significantly higher than those associated with below-boiling conditions.'' (Cohon 1999). However, not all uncertainties are reduced by lower temperatures, indeed some may even be increased. This paper addresses impacts of temperatures on uncertainties.
Date: November 14, 2000
Creator: Wilder, D G; Lin, W; Buscheck, T A; Wolery, T J & Francis, N D
Object Type: Article
System: The UNT Digital Library
Comparative Plutonium-239 Dose Assessment for Three Desert Sites: Maralinga, Australia; Palomares, Spain; and the Nevada Test Site, USA - Before and After Remedial Action (open access)

Comparative Plutonium-239 Dose Assessment for Three Desert Sites: Maralinga, Australia; Palomares, Spain; and the Nevada Test Site, USA - Before and After Remedial Action

As a result of nuclear weapons testing and accidents, plutonium has been distributed into the environment. The areas close to the sites of these tests and accidental dispersions contain plutonium deposition of such a magnitude that health authorities and responsible officials have mandated that the contaminated areas be protected, generally through isolation or removal of the contaminated areas. In recent years remedial actions have taken place at all these sites. For reasons not entirely clear, the public perceives radiation exposure risk to be much greater than the evidence would suggest [1]. This perception seems to be particularly true for plutonium, which has often been ''demonized'' in various publications as the ''most hazardous substance known to man'' [2]. As the position statement adapted by the Health Physics Society explains, ''Plutonium's demonization is an example of how the public has been misled about radiation's environmental and health threats generally, and in cases like plutonium, how it has developed a warped ''risk perception'' that does not reflect reality'' [3]. As a result of this risk perception and ongoing debate surrounding environmental plutonium contamination, remedial action criteria are difficult to establish. By examining the data available before and after remedial actions taken at the …
Date: July 14, 2000
Creator: Church, B. W.; Shinn, J.; Williams, G. A.; Martin, L. J.; O'Brien, R. S. & Adams, S. R.
Object Type: Article
System: The UNT Digital Library
Highest redshift radio galaxies (open access)

Highest redshift radio galaxies

At low redshifts powerful radio sources are uniquely associated with massive galaxies, and are thought to be powered by supermassive black holes. Modern 8m-10m telescopes may be used to find their likely progenitors at very high redshifts to study their formation and evolution.
Date: March 14, 2000
Creator: van Breugel, W
Object Type: Article
System: The UNT Digital Library
Special session: computational predictability of natural convection flows in enclosures (open access)

Special session: computational predictability of natural convection flows in enclosures

Modern thermal design practices often rely on a ''predictive'' simulation capability--although predictability is rarely quantified and often difficult to confidently achieve in practice. The computational predictability of natural convection in enclosures is a significant issue for many industrial thermal design problems. One example of this is the design for mitigation of optical distortion due to buoyancy-driven flow in large-scale laser systems. In many instances the sensitivity of buoyancy-driven enclosure flows can be linked to the presence of multiple bifurcation points that yield laminar thermal convective processes that transition from steady to various modes of unsteady flow. This behavior is brought to light by a problem as ''simple'' as a differentially-heated tall rectangular cavity (8:1 height/width aspect ratio) filled with a Boussinesq fluid with Pr = 0.71--which defines, at least partially, the focus of this special session. For our purposes, the differentially-heated cavity provides a virtual fluid dynamics laboratory.
Date: August 14, 2000
Creator: Christon, M A; Gresho, P M & Sutton, S B
Object Type: Article
System: The UNT Digital Library
Circuit Model for Gun Driven Spheromaks (open access)

Circuit Model for Gun Driven Spheromaks

In this note we derive circuit equations for sustained spheromaks, in the phase after a spheromak is detached from the gun and sustained in a flux conserver. The impedance of the spheromak during the formation and ''bubble burst'' phase has been discussed by Barnes et. al. We assume here that the spheromak is formed and helicity is being delivered to it from the gun, currents are above the threshold current, and the {lambda}-gradients are outward ({lambda} decreasing inward). We follow an open field line that begins and ends at the gun electrodes, encircling the closed flux surfaces of the spheromak, and apply power and helicity balance equations for this gun-driven system. In addition to these equations one will need to know the initial conditions (currents, stored energies) after the ''bubble burst'' in order to project forward in time.
Date: July 14, 2000
Creator: Thomassen, K I
Object Type: Report
System: The UNT Digital Library
LLNL's 3-D A Priori Model Constraints and Uncertainties for Improving Seismic Location (open access)

LLNL's 3-D A Priori Model Constraints and Uncertainties for Improving Seismic Location

Accurate seismic event location is key to monitoring the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT) and is largely dependent on our understanding of the crust and mantle velocity structure. This is particularly challenging in aseismic regions, devoid of calibration data, which leads us to rely on a priori constraints on the velocities. We investigate our ability to improve seismic event location in the Middle East, North Africa, and the Former Soviet Union (ME/NA/FSU) by using a priori three-dimensional (3-D) velocity models in lieu of more commonly used one dimensional (1-D) models. Event locations based on 1-D models are often biased, as they do not account for significant travel-time variations that result from heterogeneous crust and mantle; it follows that 3-D velocity models have the potential to reduce this bias. Here, we develop a composite 3-D model for the ME/NA/FSU regions. This fully 3-D model is an amalgamation of studies ranging from seismic reflection to geophysical analogy. Our a priori model specifies geographic boundaries and velocity structures based on geology, tectonics, and seismicity and information taken from published literature, namely a global sediment thickness map of 1{sup o} resolution (Laske and Masters, 1997), a regionalized crustal model based on geology and tectonics (Sweeney …
Date: July 14, 2000
Creator: Flanagan, M P; Myers, S C; Schultz, C A; Pasyanos, M E & Bhattacharyya, J
Object Type: Article
System: The UNT Digital Library
Use of EBSD Data in Numerical Analyses (open access)

Use of EBSD Data in Numerical Analyses

Experimentation, theory and modeling have all played vital roles in defining what is known about microstructural evolution and the effects of microstructure on material properties. Recently, technology has become an enabling factor, allowing significant advances to be made on several fronts. Experimental evidence of crystallographic slip and the basic theory of crystal plasticity were established in the early 20th Century, and the theory and models evolved incrementally over the next 60 years. (Asaro provides a comprehensive review of the mechanisms and basic plasticity models.) During this time modeling was primarily concerned with the average response of polycrystalline aggregates. While some detailed finite element modeling (FEM) with crystal plasticity constitutive relations was done in the early 1980s, such simulations over taxed the capabilities of the available computer hardware. Advances in computer capability led to a flurry of activity in finite element modeling in the next 10 years, increasing understanding of microstructure evolution and pushing the limits of theories and material characterization. Automated Electron Back Scatter Diffraction (EBSD) has produced a similar revolution in material characterization. The data collected is extensive and many questions about the evolution of microstructure and its role in determining mechanic properties can now be addressed. It is …
Date: January 14, 2000
Creator: Becker, R & Wiland, H
Object Type: Article
System: The UNT Digital Library
National Ignition Facility Project Execution Plan (open access)

National Ignition Facility Project Execution Plan

The ''National Ignition Facility (NIF) Justification of Mission Need'', which was approved by the Secretary of Energy in January 1993, defines the mission of the National Inertial Confinement Fusion (ICF) Program and discusses the specific mission of the NIF Project. The NIF experimental capability will allow nuclear-weapons scientists to assess stockpile problems, verify computational tools, test for nuclear-weapons effects, and increase their understanding of weapons physics. The three weapons laboratory directors and the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) Deputy Administrator for Defense Programs have reviewed the role of the NIT; in Stockpile Stewardship in a joint letter. Along with the Accelerated Strategic Computing Initiative numerical simulations and other aboveground experimental facilities, the NIF will provide critical data that will allow the United States to maintain its technical capabilities in nuclear weapons in the absence of underground testing. As a secondary objective, the NIF will advance our understanding of ICF and help to assess its potential as an energy source. Achieving fusion ignition in the NIF will advance both defense and energy objectives. In affirming the Project's Critical Decision 2,* ''Approval of New Start'', the Secretary of Energy verified the mission need and emphasized that the NIF has the potential to …
Date: August 14, 2000
Creator: Moses, Edward
Object Type: Report
System: The UNT Digital Library
Experimental assessment of gradient plasticity (open access)

Experimental assessment of gradient plasticity

Classical plasticity theories generally assume that the stress at a point is a function of strain at that point only. However, when gradients in strain become significant, this localization assumption is no longer valid. A common factor in the failure of these conventional models is that, since they do not account for the strain gradients, they do not display a size effect. This effect is seen experimentally when the scale of the phenomenon of interest is on the order of several microns. At this scale, strain gradients are of a significant magnitude as compared to the overall strain and must be considered for models to accurately capture observed phenomena. The mechanics community has been actively involved in the development of strain gradient theories for many years. Recently, interest in this area has been rekindled and several new approaches have appeared in the literature. Two different approaches are currently being evaluated: one approach considers strain gradients as internal variables which do not introduce work conjugate higher order stresses, and another approach considers the strain gradients as internal degrees of freedom which requires work conjugate higher order stresses. Experiments are being performed to determine which approach models material behavior accurately with the …
Date: December 14, 2000
Creator: Barney, M M; Campbell, G H; Stolken, J S; Schwartz, A J; Plitzko, J; King, W E et al.
Object Type: Article
System: The UNT Digital Library
Characteristics of Workload on Asci Blue-Pacific at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (open access)

Characteristics of Workload on Asci Blue-Pacific at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

Symmetric multiprocessor (SMP) clusters have become the prevalent computing platforms for large-scale scientific computation in recent years mainly due to their good scalability. In fact, many parallel machines being used at supercomputing centers and national laboratories are of this type. It is critical and often very difficult on such large-scale parallel computers to efficiently manage a stream of jobs, whose requirement for resources and computing time greatly varies. Understanding the characteristics of workload imposed on a target environment plays a crucial role in managing system resources and developing an efficient resource management scheme. A parallel workload is analyzed typically by studying the traces from actual production parallel machines. The study of the workload traces not only provides the system designers with insight on how to design good processor allocation and job scheduling policies for efficient resource management, but also helps system administrators monitor and fine-tune the resource management strategies and algorithms. Furthermore, the workload traces are a valuable resource for those who conduct performance studies through either simulation or analytical modeling. The workload traces can be directly fed to a trace-driven simulator in a more realistic and specific simulation experiments. Alternatively, one can obtain certain parameters that characterize the workload …
Date: August 14, 2000
Creator: Yoo, A. B. & Jette, M. A.
Object Type: Article
System: The UNT Digital Library
Milling and blending of ceramic powders for the plutonium immobilization program (open access)

Milling and blending of ceramic powders for the plutonium immobilization program

The goal of the Plutonium Immobilization Program is the immobilization of surplus weapons usable plutonium in a ceramic form. The ceramic will then be encapsulated in high level waste glass using the can-in-can configuration. In the ceramic line of the immobilization plant, surplus plutonium oxide of less than 100 micron particle size will be received for immobilization. The plutonium oxide must be sized reduced and intimately blended with uranium oxide and the other ceramic forming materials containing neutron poisons to allow for complete interaction during sintering. Once properly blended, the formulation will be pressed into the desired ceramic form and then sintered to produce the targeted mineral phases. The equipment of choice for the size reduction of the actinides and the blending with the precursor materials is the Union Process attritor mill. The attritor mill is best described as a stirred ball mill and consists of a stationary tank filled with grinding media that is agitated by a shaft with stirring arms. The rotational shaft stirs the media at high-speed causing shearing and impact forces on the material resulting in size reduction and dispersion. Speeds over 1000 rpm can be reached by the stirring shaft. The high-speed of the attritor …
Date: February 14, 2000
Creator: Herman, D. T. & Biehl, W. E.
Object Type: Article
System: The UNT Digital Library
Reaction of LiD with moisture by temperature programmed reaction (TPR) (open access)

Reaction of LiD with moisture by temperature programmed reaction (TPR)

The temperature programmed reaction technique was performed on LiOH powders and LiD single crystals previously exposed to different moisture levels. Our results show that the LiOH decomposition process has an activation energy barrier of 30 to 33.1 kcal/mol. The LiOH structure is stable at 320 K for 100 years. However, LiOH structures formed on the surface of LiD during moisture exposure at low dosages may have multiple activation energy barriers, some of which may be much lower than 30 kcal/mol. We attribute the lowering of the activation energy barrier for the LiOH decomposition to the existence of dangling bonds, cracks, and other long range disorders in the LiOH structures formed at low levels of moisture exposure. These defective LiOH structures may decompose significantly over the next 100 years of storage even at room temperature. At high moisture exposure levels, LiOH.H{sub 2}O formation is observed. The release of H{sub 2}O molecules from LiOH.H{sub 2}O structure has small activation energy barriers in the range of 13.8 kcal/mol to 16.0 kcal/mol. The loosely bonded H{sub 2}O molecules in the LiOH.H{sub 2}O structure can be easily pumped away at room temperature in a reasonable amount of time. Our experiments also suggest that handling LiD …
Date: September 14, 2000
Creator: Dinh, L N; Balooch, M; Cecala, C M & Leckey, J H
Object Type: Article
System: The UNT Digital Library
Reaction of LiD with water vapor: thermogravimetric and scanning electron microscopy studies (open access)

Reaction of LiD with water vapor: thermogravimetric and scanning electron microscopy studies

The kinetics of hydroxide film growth on LiD have been studied by the thermogravimetric method in nitrogen saturated with water vapor and by scanning electron microscopy (SEM) of samples that have been exposed to air with 50% relative humidity. The reaction probability is estimated to be 4 x 10{sup -7} for LiD exposed to ambient air with 50% relative humidity, suggesting that the diffusion through the hydroxide film is not the limiting step on the overall process at high moisture levels. The rate of growth is drastically reduced when the temperature is increased to 60 C.
Date: September 14, 2000
Creator: Balooch, M; Dinh, L N & LeMay, J D
Object Type: Article
System: The UNT Digital Library
Texas Disease Prevention News, Volume 60, Number 17, August 2000 (open access)

Texas Disease Prevention News, Volume 60, Number 17, August 2000

Newsletter of the Texas Department of Health discussing the news, activities, and events of the organization and other information related to health in Texas.
Date: August 14, 2000
Creator: Texas. Department of Health.
Object Type: Journal/Magazine/Newsletter
System: The Portal to Texas History
Checking the Beam Energy Calculation from the June 14, 2000 $\psi^\prime$ Scan (open access)

Checking the Beam Energy Calculation from the June 14, 2000 $\psi^\prime$ Scan

The Conclusions/Recommendations of this paper are: (1) It is very important to keep the orbit close to the reference orbit. (2) It is likely that BPMs are not perfectly calibrated. (3) The orbit length calculation with Quad Steering ON is more sensitive to errors in the BPM readout than with Quad Steering OFF. However, unless we are at the {psi}{prime}, Quad Steering should be ON. (4) Question: Should we use the BPM corrections derived from this scan? Answer: I don't know. I would prefer not to. If we keep the orbit close to the reference, we don't need the corrections. For cases where the orbit differs appreciably from the reference orbit, we should do the energy calculation both ways. (Perhaps with Quad steering ON and OFF too). (5) We should use the reference orbit derived from this scan. However, if there is the time and the man power, it would be desireable to do a proper scan of the {psi}{prime}.
Date: June 14, 2000
Creator: Werkema, Steve
Object Type: Report
System: The UNT Digital Library
Evaluation of SAFT/T-SAFT Technology for the Inspection of Hanford's Double Shell Waste Tank Knuckle Regions (open access)

Evaluation of SAFT/T-SAFT Technology for the Inspection of Hanford's Double Shell Waste Tank Knuckle Regions

Results of the examinations conducted at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory provided a firm engineering basis for establishing the proof-of-principle effectiveness for utilizing a combination of pulse-echo Synthetic Aperture Focusing Technique (SAFT) and tandem-SAFT (T-SAFT) inspection methodologies as applied to the problem of flaw detection, localization, and sizing in Hanford's double shell waste tank knuckle region and beyond.
Date: September 14, 2000
Creator: Pardini, Allan F. & Diaz, Aaron A.
Object Type: Report
System: The UNT Digital Library
Assessment of Energy Efficiency Project Financing Alternatives for Brookhaven National Laboratory (open access)

Assessment of Energy Efficiency Project Financing Alternatives for Brookhaven National Laboratory

This document provides findings and recommendations that resulted from an assessment of the Brookhaven National Laboratory by a team from Pacific Northwest National Laboratory to assess the site's potential for various alternative financing options as a means to implement energy-efficiency improvements. The assessment looked for life-cycle cost-effective energy-efficiency improvement opportunities, and through a series of staff interviews, evaluated the various methods by which these opportunities may be financed, while considering availability of funds, staff, and available financing options. This report summarizes the findings of the visit and the resulting recommendations.
Date: February 14, 2000
Creator: Hunt, W. D.; Hail, John C. & Sullivan, Gregory P.
Object Type: Report
System: The UNT Digital Library
A Collapse Surface for Perforated Plates with Triangular Patterns for Ligament Efficiencies Between 0.05 and 0.50 (open access)

A Collapse Surface for Perforated Plates with Triangular Patterns for Ligament Efficiencies Between 0.05 and 0.50

Collapse surfaces are developed for thick perforated plates containing a triangular penetration pattern with ligament efficiencies of 0.05, 0.10, 0.15, 0.2, 0.3, and 0.5 using elastic-perfectly plastic FEA analysis. The FEA data was fit to a fourth-order collapse function which is appropriate for the development of an equivalent solid elastic-perfectly plastic plasticity model for perforated plates with triangular penetration patterns. This type of model can be conveniently used to develop a limit load capability for perforated plate analysis. It was shown that the fourth-order function is reasonable for ligament efficiencies between 0.15 to 0.5. Comparing the fourth-order collapse function to FEA data suggests that an alternate collapse function is needed for ligament efficiencies less than 0.15. A linear interpolation method was shown to be appropriate for ligament efficiencies between 0.15 and 0.5.
Date: December 14, 2000
Creator: Gordon, D.P. Jones and J.L.
Object Type: Report
System: The UNT Digital Library
Evaluation of Statistical Methodologies Used in U. S. Army Ordnance and Explosive Work (open access)

Evaluation of Statistical Methodologies Used in U. S. Army Ordnance and Explosive Work

Oak Ridge National Laboratory was tasked by the U.S. Army Engineering and Support Center (Huntsville, AL) to evaluate the mathematical basis of existing software tools used to assist the Army with the characterization of sites potentially contaminated with unexploded ordnance (UXO). These software tools are collectively known as SiteStats/GridStats. The first purpose of the software is to guide sampling of underground anomalies to estimate a site's UXO density. The second purpose is to delineate areas of homogeneous UXO density that can be used in the formulation of response actions. It was found that SiteStats/GridStats does adequately guide the sampling so that the UXO density estimator for a sector is unbiased. However, the software's techniques for delineation of homogeneous areas perform less well than visual inspection, which is frequently used to override the software in the overall sectorization methodology. The main problems with the software lie in the criteria used to detect nonhomogeneity and those used to recommend the number of homogeneous subareas. SiteStats/GridStats is not a decision-making tool in the classical sense. Although it does provide information to decision makers, it does not require a decision based on that information. SiteStats/GridStats provides information that is supplemented by visual inspections, land-use …
Date: February 14, 2000
Creator: Ostrouchov, G
Object Type: Report
System: The UNT Digital Library
Results of the Independent Radiological Verification Survey of Remediation at Building 14, Former Linde Urnaium Refinery, Tonawanda, New York (LI001V) (open access)

Results of the Independent Radiological Verification Survey of Remediation at Building 14, Former Linde Urnaium Refinery, Tonawanda, New York (LI001V)

None
Date: July 14, 2000
Creator: McKenzie, S. P.
Object Type: Report
System: The UNT Digital Library
CALCULATION: PRECIPITATION CHARACTERISITICS FOR STORM WATER MANAGEMENT (open access)

CALCULATION: PRECIPITATION CHARACTERISITICS FOR STORM WATER MANAGEMENT

This Calculation is intended to satisfy engineering requirements for maximum 60-minute precipitation amounts for 50 and 100-year return periods at and near Yucca Mountain. This data requirement is documented in the ''Interface Control Document for Support Operations to Surface Facilities Operations Functional and Organizational Interfaces'' (CRWMS M&O 1998a). These developed data will supplement the information on 0.1 hour to 6-hour (in 0.1-hour increments) probable maximum precipitation (PMP) presented in the report, ''Precipitation Design Criteria for Storm Water Management'' (CRWMS M&O 1998b). The Reference Information Base (RIB) item, Precipitation ''Characteristics for Storm Water Management'' (M09902RIB00045 .OOO), was developed based on CRWMS M&O (1998b) and will be supplemented (via revision) with the information developed in this Calculation. The ''Development Plan for the Calculation: Precipitation Characteristics for Storm Water Management'' (CRWMS M&O 2000) was prepared in accordance with AP-2.l3Q, ''Technical Product Development Planning''. This calculation was developed in accordance with AP-3.12Q, Rev. O/ICN 2.
Date: August 14, 2000
Creator: Ambos, D.
Object Type: Report
System: The UNT Digital Library
FUTURE CLIMATE ANALYSIS (open access)

FUTURE CLIMATE ANALYSIS

This Analysis/Model Report (AMR) documents an analysis that was performed to estimate climatic variables for the next 10,000 years by forecasting the timing and nature of climate change at Yucca Mountain (YM), Nevada (Figure l), the site of a potential repository for high-level radioactive waste. The future-climate estimates are based on an analysis of past-climate data from analog meteorological stations, and this AMR provides the rationale for the selection of these analog stations. The stations selected provide an upper and a lower climate bound for each future climate, and the data from those sites will provide input to the infiltration model (USGS 2000) and for the total system performance assessment for the Site Recommendation (TSPA-SR) at YM. Forecasting long-term future climates, especially for the next 10,000 years, is highly speculative and rarely attempted. A very limited literature exists concerning the subject, largely from the British radioactive waste disposal effort. The discussion presented here is one method, among many, of establishing upper and lower bounds for future climate estimates. The method used here involves selecting a particular past climate from many past climates, as an analog for future climate. Other studies might develop a different rationale or select other past climates …
Date: March 14, 2000
Creator: Forester, R.M.
Object Type: Report
System: The UNT Digital Library